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Whole-Home DVRs Driving Home Networking Over Coax Reports In-Stat (22/5/2006)

The number of whole-home DVR installations is expected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of more than 100% from 2006 to 2008, reports In-Stat. This impressive growth will be driven by service providers and consumers. Whole-home DVRs in addition to "no-new-wires" options, such as coax, enable service providers to reduce their video distribution network deployment costs while offering consumers flexible benefits, the high-tech market research firm says. Telco TV, cable, and satellite TV providers are all candidates and represent the primary channel for video distribution in the home over coax.

"Service providers are deploying coax-based video LAN networks utilizing MoCA, Coaxsys and HPNA V3 over coax, while evaluating HomePlug AV over coax and other technologies. The difficulty comes in measuring the penetration rates as one must separate the hype from reality," said Joyce Putscher, In-Stat analyst. "As a result, we drove our forecast using a 'quad-vector' approach utilizing our annual consumer survey research, along with realistic expectations by semiconductor vendors, equipment vendors and service providers."

Recent research by In-Stat found the following:

-- The resulting market for home networking-over-coax chipsets and Physical Layer (PHY) units will grow by more than 150% from 2005 to 2010.

-- The initial "low-hanging fruit" for whole-home DVRs are consumers who have a PVR/DVR but want to upgrade to a whole-home DVR.

-- It's impossible to say that there will be one clear technology winner in the entertainment video distribution home networking race at this time. Some service providers fully expect to use multiple technologies and mediums that will co-exist in their in-home deployments.

The research, "Coax: A Home Networking Medium in Chaos" (#IN0603313RC), covers the market for coaxial home video networks and related equipment. Forecasts in this research, through 2010, focus on units, including number of households, service provider whole-home DVR and coax deployments, PHY connections, and chipsets, except for the Average Sales Prices (ASPs) and revenue for chipsets. Discussions of market trends, technology trends, suppliers, and service provider deployments are also provided.

www.instat.com